James’ DFS Tips – NFL Week 11 by James Platt
JAMES’ JUGGERNAUT DRAFT KINGS LINEUP Week 11
My Tips This Week
After Cam’s disgustingly bad game against the 49ers a month ago he’s averaged 20 points with a healthy dosage of running pumping up his point total week-after-week. The Texans giving up huge rushing games every single game they play so there should be plenty of holes and opportunities whether Cam hands it to running back or keeps it himself, obviously we’re hoping for the latter. While N’Keal Harry wasn’t targeted against the Ravens, he should be back to full health and Jakobi Meyers is turning into a legitimate receiving threat. There is life in this Patriots team yet.
Drew Brees is out indefinitely. Now we have at least three weeks of the Winston/Hill show. I’m willing to bet that Winston sees at least 80% of the snaps in week 11 barring a meltdown where he throws a pick every drive. I can’t not tip Winston. Yes, he has the potential to throw five picks, but he has the potential to throw five touchdowns. For $5,900 I want to take the risk. I picked him up in the fantasy league and I believe in Mr Jameis Winston in week 11, or should I say, the Saints future franchise QB.
Tyler pointed out last week excellently that Mike Davis was only $4,000 and that’s good because he only managed to but up 8.5 points. McCaffrey has been ruled out again and he’s now facing the worst run defence in the entire NFL, the Detroit Lions. He’s had an appropriate price increase of $2,800 so we’re expecting at least a 20-point week from him. Tampa Bay was a tough tough matchup so going from the worst to one of the best situations puts him right at the top of our list.
I was sceptical of Hines after he had a 27-point debut to start the 2020 season. Taylor is a little bit of a disappointment in his rookie year and that’s why Hines is getting more opportunities. He might have only had 12 attempts against the Titans but he cashed those in for 70 yards or a 5.8 yard average, he also caught five passes for an extra 45 yards. In his third year he looks to finally be coming out of his shell and is looking like he did in his time at NC State. Green Bay’s defence is pretty bad this season, especially against opposing running backs giving up the third-most fantasy points.
McLaurin’s price has been rising steadily and now that Alex Smith is starting and genuinely looking really good, he should be a smash most weeks. But ESPECIALLY this week. Against one of the worst passing defences in Cincinnati he should be able to continue his last three week average of 7 catches for 100 yards. I wouldn’t be surprised to see McLaurin cross the 30-point mark this week, now that Smith is comfortable in the lineup and a plus matchup. There are other options catching Smith’s eye such as McKissic and Thomas but there should be plenty to go around.
Justin Jefferson might have taken a steep price hike after a big week against the Bears but Thielen is still more expensive and I now class Jefferson as the Vikings No.1 threat. Against the Cowboys, the whole Vikings offence could explode but Jefferson should burn this defence in every part of the field. Dalvin Cook could be…well…Dalvin Cook and take all the fantasy points for himself but I don’t think Cousins will have a quiet night. It’s entirely likely that both of Minnesota’s top receivers could have big games with their QB spreading the ball around as of late.
After another of my cheap as chips receivers banged last week in Jakeem Grant (who is still an excellent pick this week at $3,500 btw) this series had to continue. I picked up Reagor after he came off IR although I originally drafted him back in August. In week 10 he had a disappointing 6 points but this week he has an even better matchup against the Browns for $4,300. He’s had 6 and 7 targets in his two weeks back so there is ample opportunity in week 11 against a struggling secondary (if the Eagles can hold off Myles Garrett.)
The disrespect for Logan Thomas is real after he managed to secure another double-digit week without scoring a touchdown. If this man scores a TD he will likely be one of the top-3 tight ends on the week. He’s now had three of his last four games hit the double-digit point mark which is a hell of a lot more than you can say for 90% of the tight end market these days. Look, it’s slim pickings out here and if the DraftKings gods aren’t going to raise his price against the team who are the 2nd-worst against tight ends, then so be it, I’m tipping him again.
On the main slate we now don’t have a single tight end crossing the $5,000 mark which is just a reflection of how badly the position is performing. However, Hockenson hadn’t gone below 9.3 points before week 10 (when he managed just 3.3) and his price dropped by $900! Hockenson’s toe clearly effected his play last week as I didn’t even think he was out there until about halfway through the game. Stafford clearly loves his second-year tight end and trusts him in key situations, always a good thing to have. Carolina is in the bottom-third against opposing tight ends so as long as the toe injury doesn’t keep Hock down, he should be a smash at this price.
Washington’s defensive unit have flirted with elite performance at a few points this season, mainly based on matchups and they have also had a few surprising performances, mixed in with just plain bad ones. They weren’t great against the Lions but they come into this game against the Bengals without Joe Mixon and an offensive line that has given up the second-most sacks in the league. Washington is top-10 in both pressure rate and sacks so this star studded D-line should find it has ample opportunities to get acquainted with No.1 overall pick.